#48: Political ads, FiveThirtyEight, & UK/Canada updates

Don’t forget your micro-assignment: Send us a polling 101 question for our explainer episode.   2016: On the Democratic side, the contest continues to roil. Straight Ace (Metrix). Huffington Post/IA Huffington Post/NH Huffington Post/national Democratic insiders in Politico. DMR/Selzer/Bloomberg poll   GOP side. Not sure the debate changed anything, polling-wise. Although maybe there’s Kasich-mentum? Huffington Post average: IA Huffington Post average: NH Huffington Post: national MassINC/WBUR Matt MacWilliams on authoritarianism NBC/WSJ on GOP contest Full NBC/WSJ poll   We talk to Carl Bialik You say bialy, we say burrito. And we talk about fivethirtyeight, forecasting, and polling pollsters. FiveThirtyEight poll of pollsters   UK update Tories aren’t shy, they’re busy! New reports on “what went wrong” in the UK election polling. BPC report The Guardian Huffington Post   Elephant in the valley A majority of women receive unwanted advances. Like a mixtape. Elephant in the Valley Poll your privilege (in Canada)   Ask a Millennial: Judge for yourself Is Judge Judy on SCOTUS? We Ask a Millennial. College grad study of civic engagement   Key Findings: Just like wildly fluctuating snow predictions, we have wildly fluctuating IA & NH predictions. Get your snacks ready & hunker down for the long winter. If we’re teaching our children good manners, does that mean they’re future Trump supporters? A new parenting thing to keep us all up at night. And if my children don’t become tech zillionaires, perhaps they should move to Canada instead. And who needs RBG when you have Judge Judy? And who does better in demo?  

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